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Does this mean after October 31 that I can no longer order paperback copies of my CS print books at the author discount? I always order a lot of them around Christmas for gifts and stuff...should I order them now BEFORE they close the CS store?

Incompetence - half the mistakes should be IN YOUR FAVOR


As Taleb clearly lays out in The Black Swan and other books, the key here is that the more fragile a system is, the more likely any change (any error, any deviation from expectation) is negative.

Highly complex systems tend to be fragile. Badly managed systems tend to be fragile. A single highly complex badly managed system, like KDP, is fragile.

If the expectation is for an efficient state, nearly every mistake will degrade the system. Road traffic systems, especially busy systems, illustrate this well. Any disruption in the system almost always results in delay to your travel time, from minutes to potentially hours. Very seldom do you arrive far in advance of expectations. More likely, you will arrive late if there's any deviation at all.

If your car is running as expected, changing something almost always results in poorer performance, unless the change is very specific and precise, such as adding a turbocharger. Your car may suddenly quit for no apparent reason: it never suddenly doubles in efficiency for no apparent reason (some form of "mistake".)

People often get sick, reducing their capacity to near zero; they almost never contract some form of disease that makes them twice as effective or efficient.

Also, systems tend to evolve to identify and control the most likely stressor. In a strange but still illustrative example, Wal-Mart has a institutionalizes system to catch shoplifters. It has no system to catch the opposite of shoplifters, i.e., people who would (in our thought experiment) enter Wal-Mart and un-steal things, i.e., place things on shelves and leave. We can infer that un-stealing almost never happens, i.e., the "mistake" (deviations) from the norm are not half in Wal-Mart's favor.

And, entropy is still a force. Complex systems that are neglected break down. They almost never get healthier, unless there's some antifragility mechanism in place, like the organic process we call "life," which needs lots of energy input and is still, philosophically, not fully understood.

Charmaine, as an aside, the image in your sig hosted with photobucket doesn't show anymore because you need to upgrade your plan.
Not Quite Kindle / Re: Making yogurt in the Instant Pot. Tips?
« Last post by crebel on Today at 04:47:51 PM »
Yogurt making is the one function I haven't tried yet, sorry. I'll be interested hearing how it turns out!
Writers' Cafe / Re: Stay-at-home parent/authors!
« Last post by CABarrett on Today at 04:41:24 PM »
Hello both of you! :) I have four at home. I feel as if we stay-at-home parents have one big commonality with indie authors... most of us have struggled with the desire for external validation, and then made the choice that fits our goals instead of the quick path to praise. (ymmv, of course, but my extended family on both sides thinks I'm an idiot for committing career seppuku.)

Right now, my fiction writing is primarily a hobby and intellectual outlet, but I want it to grow as I get more time. Like you both, I feel that I can only concentrate after bedtime, and that's not the time of day that is my creative best. I also try to work out scenes ahead of my writing session so that I can make the most of my time. I set habit goals instead of word count goals, and I try to only compare myself to myself and improve. This fall I've been trying out short fiction to see if it's more satisfying/helpful to get something finished and critiqued.

I'm grateful to have a lot of time to learn about craft and business through podcasts. The kids like Writing Excuses and The Creative Penn best. Do you have any favorites? I'm reading the book Growing Gills this week after it was featured on The Creative Penn, and I am finding it very creatively nourishing.

Again, how are you determining the backgrounds of people who object to the book?

I can't determine their religious or cultural backgrounds. I only know that the group objecting (overwhelmingly) has not read the material to which they're objecting. Therefore, in my opinion, the group is mostly uninformed and mostly reactionary. Their background is of no consequence. I just view them as a reactionary group. Even Muslims within this group have no specific added knowledge. If they haven't read the book they're as uninformed as everyone else and their experiences or opinions are as inconsequential as everyone else's.

I said,

I'm saying that the people affected have a place at that table of discussion. And I will assign the group actively affected a higher value, but by no means all the value

And now I understand that you mean: How do I know the people objecting right now aren't being affected?

I should've said, "people affected who were informed, who have read the novel". I consider anyone uninformed, regardless of their background to be of that one group. I don't think their background is relevant until they're informed and have read the book.

And secondly, is that the ideal way to determine things? Say we could specifically ask Muslims how they felt about the book and 74% of them were fine with it, does that really not make the book problematic anymore? I'd argue that the book is intrinsically problematic.

It possibly could be intrinsically problematic.

But when does a book's intrinsic problematic-ness change? What if the percentages were 83% or 92% or 98% that thought it was fine? Is something that offends 17% or 8% or 2% of a demographic still intrinsically problematic? Does any specific percentage actually mean a book is not intrinsically problematic anymore? It can't be 0%, because that's impossible. It's certainly a discussion worth having and one that's far-reaching implications certainly put me out of my depth.
I started with yogurt maker. It works great because of optimum temperature for bacteria to grow.  Good decision.
Writers' Cafe / Re: Stay-at-home parent/authors!
« Last post by eleutheria on Today at 04:38:38 PM »
Are you me? I have a one year old, and the only time I can find to really write is when he's asleep! So I end up planning my next scene while doing household tasks or while I'm putting him down for a nap, and then hurriedly try to get that done as he sleeps before I collapse myself.
Writers' Cafe / Re: Pet Romance author cross promo
« Last post by paranormal_kitty on Today at 04:37:43 PM »
Too bad my book is UF because I have a vampire hamster. Although it's more of a lab testing animal than a pet.
Writers' Cafe / Re: Will this offend anyone?
« Last post by Jena H on Today at 04:36:42 PM »
Reminds me of a joke a Belgian told me.

If you speak three languages, you're called trilingual

If you speak two languages, you're bilingual.

If you speak only one language, you're an American.

(I'm an American and I speak more than one language, but this didn't offend me. Then again, who cares?)

Haha, this is too true.  Although to be fair, the fact that so many Americans don't speak other languages isn't too surprising.  It's a big country and a LOT of people never get outside of it (although most do travel within US borders, from LA to NYC, and all points between).  By contrast, people who live in Europe can go through two or three or even more countries in a single day by train, so almost anyone who lives in a European country almost has to know a couple different languages.
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